There were proposals to abolish the penitentiary mode of punishment and return to hard labor, corporal punishment, and even banishment

September 29th, 2026

The American prison experiment has a 250-year history of good intentions and bad results:

Eastern State Penitentiary is one of the places where the American prison experiment began, and where one of its most bizarre iterations was tested on human beings. After it opened in 1829, Eastern State was, as it is now, a tourist attraction. In 1858, more than 10,000 visitors paid entry fees to gawk at the building and the men confined inside it.

The walls are what everyone sees first when they come to Eastern State. The prison, located on a rise in what is now Philadelphia’s Fairmount neighborhood, is skirted by imposing 30-foot-high granite walls, crenelated turrets, and a medieval gatehouse. It was designed to intimidate, and it has always done its job.

When the Marquis de Lafayette, a hero of the American and French revolutions, passed through Philadelphia on an 1824 tour of all 24 U.S. states, city leaders showed him the facade of Eastern State, then still under construction. According to all accounts, Lafayette recoiled at the sight. Thomas B. McElwee wrote in an 1835 history of the prison that the “form of the edifice was disapproved by LaFayette, in the memorable expression which he uttered as he crossed its threshold for the first time, ‘What! Have you Bastilles in this country?’”

Eastern State cost $780,000 to construct, making it one of the most expensive buildings in the country when it opened and one of the most expensive in the world. The paradox of the place was that this fearsome fortress represented the liberal ideals of the young American republic and an investment in building a more humane justice system.

[…]

The modern prison is widely considered an American invention, one born out of a peculiar American mix of Christian theology and Enlightenment confidence. Much as the Founding Fathers sought to constrain the passions of majorities and lawmakers through checks and balances, prison advocates in the early republic wanted to use architecture and discipline to mold convicts into productive citizens while avoiding the sadism and spectacle that typified criminal justice in Europe.

[…]

Unlike in the jails of the 18th century, everything in Eastern State was designed for the purpose of corrections. The prison was built around a central hub, from which cellblocks extended radially like spokes on a wagon wheel. Newly arriving prisoners were brought in wearing hoods, given identification numbers that replaced their names while they were incarcerated, and put in isolation cells where they spent 23 hours a day. Inside each cell were a bed and a worktable, where inmates spent daytime hours at trades such as making shoes.

The thing former Eastern State inmates most often recalled was the profound, tomblike silence. Prisoners were never allowed to talk to each other. The barrel-vaulted ceilings were designed to amplify sound, so from the central hub a guard could hear the faintest whisper or languid sigh. To maintain the atmosphere, guards padded through the cellblocks in wool socks.

The only human contact the incarcerated people of Eastern State Penitentiary were allowed was a weekly meeting, through a grated door, with local ministers. The ministers acted as “moral instructors” and kept notes on the prisoners’ prospects for rehabilitation.

The philosophical cornerstone of Eastern State was laid in 1787 at Benjamin Franklin’s house, when the humanitarian Benjamin Rush first proposed building a “house of repentance” for convicts. Rush wrote that inmates should be subjected to strict routines of “BODILY PAIN, LABOR, WATCHFULNESS, SOLITUDE, and SILENCE,” joined with “CLEANLINESS and a SIMPLE DIET.”

[…]

Since the American Revolution, the nascent states had been working to reform their jails—usually nothing more than a filthy common room that held men, women, and minors together—and rewrite their laws to sever themselves from England’s despised criminal code, which by the end of the 18th century included more than 200 capital offenses. The reform movement was propelled by anti-royal sentiments, by the spread of Howard’s theories among the elite, and by theological objections to capital and corporal punishment—particularly in Pennsylvania, with its high number of Quakers. “As the sect with the strictest definition of what was due Caesar, [Quakers] were in perennial conflict with Caesar’s laws,” Ignatieff writes. “Hence of all sects they asked the most searching questions about the right of the state to coerce citizens.”

The problem with getting rid of the whipping post and stocks was figuring out their replacement. In 1786, Pennsylvania briefly tried sentencing criminal offenders to public labor repairing roads and digging ditches, but it discovered that leaving gangs of convicts to wander freely through the streets was a poor idea. The laborers, who became derisively known as “wheelbarrowmen,” wore degrading uniforms and were mocked by onlookers. There were also escapes, violence, and, in one incident, an attempt to rob Alexander Hamilton’s carriage as it returned from the Constitutional Convention. Public opinion quickly turned against what one Philadelphia Evening Post columnist called the “lawless and wandering banditti of wheelbarrowmen.”

Rush argued convincingly that public punishment degraded both the convict and the society that witnessed it. In 1790, Philadelphia’s Walnut Street Jail opened a wing of 16 isolation cells based on Rush’s ideas. It was initially touted as a success and copied in many other U.S. cities, but within several years these “proto-prisons,” as Rubin calls them, fell prey to the same overcrowding, riots, and arsons that they had supposedly cured. By 1810, the newfangled “penitentiary house” that had made Philadelphia a worldwide leader in criminal justice reform was widely seen as a failure, too small and poorly designed for its requirements. State authorities had to call up militias to quell prison riots and mass breakouts in New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Virginia.

“American states’ first sustained experiments with long-term confinement as punishment for convicted offenders, drawing on Pennsylvania’s example, had failed—visibly and spectacularly,” Rubin writes.

In response to the failure of the proto-prisons and a rising fear of social disorder, there were proposals to abolish the penitentiary mode of punishment and return to hard labor, corporal punishment, and even banishment. In his 1818 address to the New York Legislature, Gov. DeWitt Clinton called incarceration a “failure” that enrolled criminals in a “school of turpitude.” Several states reauthorized capital punishments they had stricken from their books.

But reformers convinced state legislatures that what was needed were networks of larger penitentiaries located outside of major cities. This launched the first wave of American prison building.

Any notes written down during briefings were confiscated by security guards

September 28th, 2026

Biological War by Annie JacobsenBecause the Russians’ biological weapons program was a clear violation of the BWC treaty, Annie Jacobsen explains (in Biological War), the Soviets went to great lengths to disguise it:

Igor Domaradskij was the first scientific director at Obolensk, and the first chief of the plague genetics program there. In his hand-typed writings (shared with us by Milton Leitenberg), Domaradskij reveals one such facade.

“Everything [was designed] to mislead any foreign intelligence,” Domaradskij writes, and that the Obolensk weapons facility was built to resemble an insane asylum, including actors dressed as mentally ill patients roaming the grounds. “[ F] rom space, it looked like some kind of sanatorium, with the convalescents walking about in pyjamas [sic] or playing volleyball!”

A civilian front organization was created to appear as if it produced vaccines and other medical countermeasures. The program was so highly classified that its name—Biopreparat, meaning “biological preparations” in English—was personally chosen by Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev, back in 1973.

[…]

The main building at Obolensk was an eight-story structure, its exterior dominated by glass. The floors were organized by the deadly pathogen being researched: anthrax, tularemia, glanders, plague. Top secret meetings like the one in 1989 took place in a large auditorium near the center of the building, austere and without windows. “We were not allowed to bring briefcases or bags inside the room,” Alibek recalled. Any notes written down during briefings were confiscated by security guards. If a scientist wanted to see their own notes later, they had to get special permission.

Russia always works at operational depth

September 27th, 2026

During his tenure as defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov recognized that Ukraine needed to fight deep behind Russian lines:

“Russia always works at operational depth,” he said. “This is how Russian doctrine is built; Russia essentially created the concept.” Indeed, Isserson, the Soviet deep operations theorist, wrote in 1937 that “In foreign bourgeois literature we cannot find the same concept of deep combat which already lies at the foundation of our tactics.” Therefore, Fedorov prioritized the transformation to a higher-echelon corps system, which allowed Ukraine to fight at depth and enabled a shift from fighting a tactical, attritional fight to an operational-level one.

To strike Russia at depth, Fedorov introduced the middle-strike campaign, explaining: “[First-person-view] drones reshaped the tactical level of warfare. Deep-strike drones and missiles hit strategic targets deep inside Russia. Middle-strike operations fill the gap between them, enabling systematic strikes at ranges of around 30-200 km.” The campaign sought to target “critical infrastructure that supports the front line: ammunition depots, command posts, supply routes, air defense systems, radars, and drone control centers.” In 2026, Fedorov put five times more funds toward the procurement of middle-strike systems than in 2025, like the $5,000 AI-enabled Hornet drone. The Ministry of Defense reported that between January and June 2026, successful drone strikes beyond fifty kilometers increased forty-four times.

The campaign involved more than just drones; for example, Fedorov also prioritized extended-range artillery ammunition. He pushed for domestic production of 155-millimeter rounds with ranges over thirty kilometers and canceled purchases of shorter-range rounds. He recognized that since artillery emplaced far to the rear to avoid observation and since the dispersed close fight in the contested zone was often twenty kilometers wide, rounds with ranges under thirty kilometers contributed little to the fight—especially considering 155-millimeter artillery was often consolidated into corps artillery units for deep targeting, he saw no use in providing them with short-range ammunition.

Ukraine began to dominate Russia at depth by first targeting radar and air defense systems. Between March and May 2026, Ukraine reportedly destroyed eighty-one air defense systems. On May 27, Fedorov transitioned to the “logistics lockdown” campaign to “systematically destroy Russian logistics, warehouses, equipment, command posts, and supply routes at operational depth.” Russian logistics have been severed along the highways and railways that provide Russia’s primary lines of communications in southern Ukraine.

This campaign degraded Russian drone operations. Ukrainian units have searched the battlefield in depth to destroy Russian drone operators and launch sites. Due to the logistics lockdown, Russia struggles to send replacement operators, drones, and parts. Reinforcing this campaign, which has knocked out 50 percent of Russia’s oil refining capacity, the middle-strike campaign has exacerbated fuel shortages. Russian drone operators face challenges in finding fuel to charge their drones or radios. Fedorov also persuaded Elon Musk to turn off StarLink for Russian forces, which added a further disruption to their drone operations.

No one outside the small Stanford lab knew anything about the experiment until the following summer

September 26th, 2026

Biological War by Annie JacobsenThe engineered plague Annie Jacobsen posits (in Biological War) is designed not only to be more virulent, more transmissible, and resistant to antibiotics, but it also has a secret back door — as originally conceived by Soviet bioweapon engineers during the Cold War:

A biological weapon with “a two-strike capacity,” like a booby trap, the legendary biological warfare expert Milton Leitenberg tells us. Now in his nineties, Leitenberg learned about the Soviets’ Cold War biological weapons program directly from one of its original cofounders, a plague expert named Igor Domaradskij. “I interviewed him at my house over a period of a few days in June of 1999,” says Leitenberg, and Domaradskij shared with him his original hand-typed writings about how the Soviet program came to be—a copy of which Leitenberg shared with us, to help us understand the scientist’s mindset and the program’s foundations.

Igor Domaradskij was one of two Russian scientists who, starting in 1974, laid down the architecture for this highly classified and illegal biological weapons program. “I drafted a scheme for what were known as the ‘Five principal sectors,’ ” Domaradskij writes, meaning the five major directions in which Russian efforts to genetically modify germs would expand. One of these programs is particularly important to this scenario, a bioengineering effort to transfer the DNA from one germ into another. “The plan,” says Domaradskij, “became known as ‘Bonfire.’ ”

[…]

But it is real: a genetically modified, two-stage killer that, developed further, became known as a chimera bioweapon, according to Sergei Popov, another one of the Soviet biological weapons engineers involved. “Imagine a new weapon which is difficult to diagnose initially, and then which is impossible to treat with conventional antibiotics,” Popov told PBS Nova producer Kirk Wolfinger in 2001. “A double agent [weapon], like plague and encephalomyelitis virus, [that] could be combined in one.”

This is only possible with recombinant DNA:

One day in 1971, inside a laboratory at Stanford University in California, an American biochemist named Paul Berg conducted an experiment that would forever change the biological sciences. He successfully spliced DNA from a monkey virus into the DNA of a second virus, known as lambda phage.

[…]

No one outside the small Stanford lab knew anything about the experiment until the following summer. That’s when one of Berg’s graduate students, a young biochemist named Janet Metz, attended a workshop at Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory in New York and told her teacher, a virologist named Robert Pollack, that Berg had succeeded in splicing together DNA from two different viral species.

Pollack was stunned. “Pollack told [Janet] he thought that [my experiment] was the most dangerous and outrageous experiment that anybody could possibly do,” Berg later recalled. He remembered Pollack asking him, “had I realized how dangerous an experiment this would be?”

Berg’s experiment involved inserting a monkey-virus gene, called Simian Virus 40 (SV40)—known to cause cancerous tumors in laboratory animals—into a bacterial virus (lambda phage), with the plan of eventually introducing it into Escherichia coli (E. coli), a common bacterium that lives in the intestines of humans. Pollack’s outrage, Berg learned, stemmed from the opinion “that the bacteria carrying SV40 DNA might escape, and cause cancer in [everyone it] infected.”

“My first reaction,” said Berg, “was that this was absurd. I didn’t see any risk to it.”

[…]

Guidelines for lab safety protocols were set up, according to degree of risk. The biocontainment facilities where recombinant DNA work would take place needed airflow hoods, airlocks, and security systems to ensure that deadly pathogens would not escape. But the research should continue, the scientists ultimately agreed.

[…]

Almost immediately after signing the Biological Weapons Convention treaty, the Russians began pursuing exotic biological weapons using techniques made possible by recombinant DNA.

The program’s deputy chief, Ken Alibek, explains. “We were among the 140 signatories of the convention pledging ‘not to develop, produce, stockpile or otherwise acquire or retain’ biological agents for offensive military purposes [and yet] at the same time,” he clarifies, “through our covert program, we [developed and] stockpiled hundreds of tons of anthrax and dozens of tons of plague and smallpox… for use against the United States and its Western allies.”

Sergei Popov’s interview with NOVA producer Kirk Wolfinger is still available:

My most successful research was the finding that a bacteria called Legionella could be modified in such a way that it could induce severe nervous system disease. And the symptoms of nervous disorders [similar to those of multiple sclerosis] would appear several days after the bacterial disease was completely “cured.” So there would be no bacterial agent, but symptoms—new and unusual symptoms—would appear several days later.

America’s cities are, by and large, bad

September 25th, 2026

America’s cities are, by and large, bad:

The easiest way to see this is to understand the primary reason why they’re so bad: crime. The big benefit of cities for countries is that they’re economic engines of progress due to agglomeration effects: benefits and cost-savings that appear because companies, services, and workers are geographically collocated in them. But agglomeration effects are negatively related to crime.

[…]

But is this causal? Does crime reduce the extent of agglomeration economies? To a major extent, yes, and we know it thanks to a suite of different disasters—bombings, fires, earthquakes, hurricanes, etc.—, to random events that displaced populations—the Mariel Boatlift, Japanese internment, close elections that appointed discriminatory mayors, etc.—, to the historical period known as the Great Migration—the mass movement of African Americans from the southeastern U.S. to the rest of the country’s urban areas.

[…]

The Great Migration accelerated thanks to World War II, when draft- and casualty-related labor shortages allowed Blacks to move from low-skilled to semiskilled jobs en masse, and it accelerated once again with the Supreme Court’s 1948 decision in Shelley v. Kraemer, which forbade neighborhoods from having state-enforced racial covenants—agreements to evict Blacks from certain neighborhoods and to prevent them from buying homes in them. What remained post-Shelley were merely private, much more loosely-enforced agreements not to sell property to members of certain races.

Labor shortages and racial covenants provide us with causal leverage: the former are driven by random deaths and pre-war demographics that are displaced by draft boards; the latter are driven in all sorts of unclear ways and broken due to preferences that are plausibly unrelated to the existence of the racial covenants in the first place. Interesting, no? Accordingly, where African Americans wound up and the occupations they were able to enter there had a large degree of randomness to them.

These facts, coupled with African Americans’ persistent association with violent crime, allow us to leverage their inflows to assess effects on agglomeration economies via crime. We can say ‘via crime’, since a mere racism angle doesn’t fit the data given that other racially distinct but lower-crime demographics that were discriminated against do not seem to lead people—in particular White people, in the phenomenon known as ‘White flight’—to leave from the places African Americans show up, even controlling for socioeconomic status, and because anti-agglomeration effects are particularly distinct for violent crime, which is the type of crime African Americans are associated with, as opposed to property crime.

Cities that received more African Americans during the Great Migration saw larger increases in homicide.

Cities attempted to counter this, and those that received the largest African American inflows increased hiring and funding of police in response.

Nevertheless, the homicide rates increased, violent crime overtook America’s urban centers, and White flight went into full swing, with Whites leaving metropolitan areas in favor of suburbs and new homes further afield. As a result, city total populations and population densities declined and labor productivity became worse off for it.

Agglomeration is about two margins: density and returns to density, and crime is bad for both. We can observe and quantify the costs of crime-reduced density and density returns. The cost of the Great Migration density effects alone is about $888 per year per American, and the effect of the 1960s to early 1990s crime wave is another $392 per capita, but even those are lower bounds, as they’re just the costs we see.

Cities are also arranged worse, leading to tangible and intangible losses. On the tangible side, cities are arranged in strange ways and their architecture is hostile so people can avoid crime; on the intangible side, patents are foregone, nightlife is more limited, police presence has to be greater and more concentrated, segregation is stronger, and NIMBYism—which is suboptimal for policy, as it also harms agglomeration, labor mobility, etc.—is reasonable as a means of exposure control.

Pneumonic plague is a fulminant disease

September 24th, 2026

Biological War by Annie JacobsenPlague has been responsible for several of the most fatal pandemics in human history, Annie Jacobsen notes (in Biological War), including ones in the sixth, fourteenth, nineteenth, and early twentieth centuries:

From around 1347 to 1352, the disease killed 150 million people.

Then she explains that her nightmare scenario involves a modified plague:

This particular plague weapon has been genetically engineered to initially deliver a neurochemical high.

“When we first heard Soviet scientists were inserting the endorphin gene [for euphoria] into plague,” says Dr. Henry Heine, a former U.S. Army bacteriologist, “we were appalled. That they would purposefully engineer the Y. pestis bacteria to behave this way… to make you want to go out and socialize… this was some horrifying stuff.”

Y. pestis is shorthand for Yersinia pestis, the bacterium that causes plague, and Dr. Heine is one of the world’s subject-matter experts. Starting in the late 1990s, he spent eleven years working on biological warfare countermeasures at the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, in Fort Detrick, Maryland. USAMRIID, or “you-sam-rid” as it’s known, is the Defense Department’s flagship center for high-and maximum-containment infectious disease research and its only Biosafety Level 4 (BSL-4) laboratory. In the event of a biological attack against America, USAMRIID scientists will be at the fore.

[…]

Former assistant secretary of defense Andy Weber agrees. “I grew up thinking Reagan’s phrase ‘Evil Empire’ was an exaggeration,” he tells us. “Then I learned what the Russians were doing [with biological warfare].” He pauses for effect. “It was evil.”

[…]

“Because of the severity of the disease, the rapid onset of symptoms, sepsis, and multi-organ system failure followed by 100% mortality in untreated patients,” retired colonel Bret Purcell, the former chief of the Division of Medicine at USAMRIID, tells us, “the U.S. military recognizes Yersinia pestis [as] one of the highest bacterial threat pathogens to our military and civilian populations.”

[…]

During Dr. Heine’s tenure at USAMRIID, he spent thousands of hours inside a laboratory studying plague. His efforts, which focused on developing therapeutics against biowarfare and bioterrorism, included work to develop a plague vaccine. It never advanced beyond animal trials. “You can’t defend against every imaginable thing,” Heine laments, citing the undeniable reality at the center of the military’s efforts to defend against biological warfare. Biological warfare is, at its core, indefensible.

[…]

People whose lungs are infected with Yersinia pestis generally begin developing symptoms after an incubation period of between one and three days, depending on an array of factors, from the strength of their immune system, to the dosage they receive. Genetic modifications can further alter this time frame.

[…]

Pneumonic plague is a fulminant disease, meaning it strikes fast and kills quickly.

The missile was developed with an eye toward future conflicts in the Pacific

September 23rd, 2026

Covenant, a U.S.-Israeli company founded in 2024, unveiled its Anthem weapon system recently:

Covenant has not publicly disclosed the weapon’s range, although unconfirmed reports put it at roughly 1,200 kilometers — over 740 miles. The company is also being somewhat deliberate about how it describes Anthem, referring to it as a “deep precision-strike munition” rather than consistently classifying it as a cruise missile.

On the other hand, Reuters reports Covenant executives saying that the missile was developed ?with an ?eye toward future conflicts in the Pacific. “We were designed for the China fight,” said Covenant President Abby Denburg. That would also seem to point toward significant range.

[…]

The company says Anthem can carry a warhead weighing more than 200 kilograms (441 pounds). That is substantially less than the roughly 1,000-pound-class warhead associated with the Tomahawk cruise missile, which can hit targets at over 1,000 miles depending on the exact configuration. Covenant argues that lower cost and much higher production rates would make it possible to employ larger numbers of their weapons against a given target set.

Anthem uses a solid rocket motor for launch and a heavy-fuel jet engine, underslung below the missile body, for cruise flight. Covenant says the system was designed from the outset around readily available components and a supply chain that would avoid dependence on individual suppliers. The company states that it has, for example, multiple solid-rocket-motor suppliers and long-term agreements covering thousands of jet engines.

Overall, the production ambitions are significant. Covenant’s new Grand Prairie, Texas, facility covers approximately 105,000 square feet and is expected to begin serial production during the first quarter of 2027, eventually reaching a stated capacity of 5,000 Anthems per year. Its facility in Saxony, Germany, is intended to reach a similar production rate, while the smaller Israeli site is planned to produce as many as 2,000 weapons annually.

[…]

Beyond the ground-launched version, Covenant is working on a naval derivative. The company says it has a roughly $70-million contract with the Navy’s Rapid Capabilities Office to adapt Anthem into what it calls Maritime Anthem.

[…]

Reuters reports that Covenant expects the weapon to eventually cost in the mid-six-figure range, although the company has not provided a final unit price. Compared to other competitors in the field, Covenant appears to be the crudest design we have seen so far, underscored by its apparent launch method, in which it takes off from an airstrip under power of its booster.

[…]

The company says it has raised more than $250 million from investors including Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Lux Capital, 8VC, Aleph, and Lightspeed.

The treaty has no protocols for enforcement

September 22nd, 2026

Biological War by Annie JacobsenBiological warfare is illegal, and biological weapons are illegal, Annie Jacobsen notes (in Biological War), yet biological weapons exist:

Over 100 years ago, the international community banned the use of biological weapons with the Geneva Protocol of 1925, but by World War II, various nations were developing robust biological weapons programs, including the United States, the Soviet Union, Nazi Germany, and Imperial Japan.

[…]

And then, in November 1969 and without much warning, President Richard Nixon renounced America’s biological weapons program. This led to the 1972 Biological Weapons Convention—the BWC—an international treaty prohibiting the development, production, acquisition, transfer, stockpiling, and use of biological and toxin weapons.

[…]

The Biological Weapons Convention treaty allows for “defensive” biological weapons research, meaning scientists can conduct research involving the same pathogens that could be used for biological warfare—so long as the research warrants to be “for prophylactic, protective, or other peaceful purposes.” In other words, offensive biological weapons research can masquerade as “defensive” in scope.

“The treaty has no protocols for enforcement,” former assistant secretary of state Mallory Stewart tells us.

[…]

In the second half of the Cold War, after signing the treaty, the Soviet Union secretly and illegally developed and stockpiled massive arsenals of biological weapons, including genetically engineered germs.

[…]

A 2025 U.S. State Department compliance report assesses that Russia and North Korea each “maintains an offensive BW [biological weapons] program” in violation of the treaty, while China and Iran are engaged in biological research and activities that raise unresolved compliance issues.

[…]

“The United States maintains that the Soviet program was absorbed, not dismantled, by the Russian Federation,” says the State Department’s special representative to the Biological Weapons Convention, Kenneth D. Ward, “and that program has continued and evolved in violation of Article I and Article II of the BWC.”

[…]

A deadly germ—genetically modified to be human-to-human transmissible, hypervirulent, able to defeat countermeasures, and with no known cure—could be twenty-first-century humans’ last invention.

The Army is planning for between 2-to-3,000 15X soldiers who will fly, fix, and deploy all sizes of drones

September 21st, 2026

Though all new soldiers who join the Army now get basic drone familiarization in basic training, those who join the 15X MOS move on to the 15-week Advanced Individual Training in Arizona, where they learn to assemble, fix, and fly a variety of small, medium, and large drones:

They train to fly in contested environments, day and night, out in the woods, in a desert, and against an enemy opposition force.

They also train on many different kinds of drones.

“The Army has not bought a drone that the 15X is responsible for being an expert on. The Army’s bought a bunch of them,” he said. “For the first time ever, it’s not like ‘Hey, here is your rifle.’ It’s like, ‘Hey, I have 30 weapons that I need to make sure that you can shoot.’”

Because drone warfare is changing so rapidly, Gourgues and his instructors are still actively adjusting the course material for every class. The training focus for the new 15X soldiers is large, long-distance drones, but they also taught small systems like tactical FPV drones so they can be attached to infantry units, or even form drone-specific teams that sit behind front lines, akin to artillery soldiers.

[…]

soldiers will be part of maneuver operations like infantry and armor units, but also more technical fields like military intelligence and cyber formations. The 15X soldiers have to work with drones of all sizes, which the Department of Defense classifies as groups 1, 2 and 3 unmanned aerial systems, or UASs. But the priority is group 3, the largest-sized drones, he said.

[…]

In total, the Army is planning for between 2-to-3,000 15x soldiers who will fly, fix, and deploy all sizes of drones.

[…]

Gourgues said the decision to keep drone programs within the Army’s aviation branch comes from the “sheer complexity” of operating the military’s bigger and longer-range UAS platforms like the Shadow and Gray Eagle. Since those larger systems fly in the same airspace as jets and helicopters, drone operators need to have the same expertise in air traffic control, weather, flight regulations, and other air safety measures for complex military operations, he said.

Nothing prevents a state from concealing a weapons program under the guise of protecting commercial secrets

September 20th, 2026

Biohazard by Ken AlibekWe may not realize until too late, Ken Alibek explains (in Biohazard), that we have become the victims of a biological attack:

It is not until days or weeks after such an attack has taken place—after the first wave of deaths—that we will most likely recognize its occurrence.

[…]

A small amount of Marburg or Ebola released in the subway system of Washington, D.C., Boston, or New York, or in an airport, shopping mall, or financial center, could produce hundreds of thousands of victims.

[…]

It is easier to make a biological weapon than to create an effective system of biological defense. Based on our current level of knowledge, at least seventy different types of bacteria, viruses, rickettsiae, and fungi can be weaponized. We can reliably treat no more than 20 to 30 percent of the diseases they cause.

[…]

In a simulated attack staged in New York City in 1998, nearly all of the members of an emergency unit dispatched to the scene “died” because they were insufficiently protected. “They did all the right things,” a federal official who watched the exercise told The New York Times. “But the scenario utterly defeated them.” The emergency teams were hampered by their inability to identify which biological agents had been used.

[…]

Most methods involve the exposure of vials or petri dishes containing laboratory-grown cultures to air samples from a suspected target area. This can be a laborious process. A field monitoring device used during the Gulf War took between thirteen and twenty-four hours to make a positive identification. For botulinum toxin, one of the staples of Iraq’s arsenal, this would already be too late.

Technology has improved since then. The Biological Integrated Detection System (BIDS) cut the time to only thirty minutes, but it can so far only determine the presence of anthrax, plague, botulinum toxin, and staphylococcus enterotoxin B.

In September 1998, he explains, Clinton and Yeltsin agreed in Moscow on a program of “accelerated negotiations” to strengthen the Biological Weapons Convention:

In America, the loudest protests have come from commercial biotechnology companies, who argue that open-ended inspections of their labs and production facilities will leave them vulnerable to industrial espionage. Biotechnology is a multi-million-dollar industry. Between 1989 and 1996 the number of firms in the United States developing new-generation drugs soared from 45 to 113.

[…]

Nothing prevents a state from concealing a weapons program under the guise of protecting commercial secrets.

Arms treaties are important. They set standards of international behavior regarding the acquisition and use of weapons of mass destruction. But they are almost invariably ignored when countries believe their national security is at stake.

The American plan to stockpile and develop vaccines against known agents is the most comprehensive of its kind in the world, Alibek notes, but, as parts of that plan have been implemented, its limitations have become clear:

Mandatory immunization of troops has been official Pentagon policy since 1993. All 2.3 million American soldiers have begun to receive shots against anthrax, currently regarded as the principal threat because of its documented presence in Saddam Hussein’s arsenal. But no vaccines are contemplated against other agents believed to be in that arsenal, such as aflatoxin, botulinum, and smallpox. The extra cost would be enormous (the six-year anthrax vaccine program alone will cost the military an estimated $ 130 million) and vaccines are not without side effects. Injecting soldiers against dozens of diseases would not protect them from the agents we don’t know about, or from those for which there are no known vaccines.

[…]

Vaccines made of live but weakened microorganisms are generally more effective than those made of nonliving cellular or subcellular components. Both types are usually benign, but in rare cases they can trigger significant changes in the blood and endocrine systems. Some have been known to affect the functioning of the heart, lungs, kidneys, and other organs. It is not medically advisable to combine too many different courses of vaccination.

There are currently no known vaccines for brucellosis, glanders, and melioidosis or for many viral diseases, such as Ebola and Marburg. The plague vaccine was found to be ineffective against aerosol dissemination in animal studies. The tularemia vaccine is difficult to culture and potentially dangerous. Of the four possible strains available for viral encephalitis, the first and most potent (a live vaccine) produces adverse reactions in 20 percent of all cases and is ineffective in 20 percent. The second is of restricted effectiveness (it only works against three subtypes of the disease), and the third and fourth are poorly immunogenic and require multiple immunizations. The smallpox vaccine, only available in the United States to lab workers and military personnel, can be administered either before or after infection. It requires periodic boosters and wears out after ten years, though revaccination is required after three years in case of infection. Skin testing is recommended for Q fever and botulinum toxin.

The anthrax vaccine used in the United States has to be administered six times before it becomes effective (three times in two-week intervals and three times in six-month intervals) with annual boosters thereafter.

[…]

American experts maintain that annual boosters are safe—the live vaccine we used in Russia was associated with some risks—but scientists generally agree that excessive vaccination can create complications in the immune system, leading in rare cases to the formation of tumors.

Repeated vaccinations has been known to trigger or aggravate allergies. Thirty minutes after I received my last vaccination against anthrax in 1987, my face became swollen, and I developed a rash and had trouble breathing. I took Dimidrol, a powerful anti-allergy medication available in Russia (though not in the United States) and felt better again in a few hours. For the next ten days I received intravenous preparations at a hospital—a form of allergy treatment we called desensibilization therapy. Several colleagues had been forbidden from anthrax work after similar reactions.

[…]

I received my first anthrax vaccination in 1979 and began a course of annual vaccinations in 1982. I was also vaccinated against smallpox once, twice against tularemia, and four times against plague. The chronic allergies I have suffered throughout my adult life are a direct consequence of repeated exposure to live vaccines, and to other biological substances I worked with.

Vaccines provide excellent protection against specific diseases, but the characteristic that makes them so effective—that specificity—is also the source of their limitations.

[…]

Despite American efforts and expenditures, vaccines have limited value for the protection of civilians.

Not quite the Wilhelm scream

September 19th, 2026

If you were an adult in 1995, when the original Toy Story came out, you probably had some exposure to old westerns and some exposure to old children’s shows, if only through spoofs of puppet shows or clown shows, so Woody seemed like a classic toy from a fairly recently bygone age — but kids these days don’t even have a passing familiarity with, say, The Roy Rogers Show.

While watching the first episode (at 22:52), I heard a very familiar scream, as a bad guy fell to his death, but it was not quite the now infamous Wilhelm scream:

The Wilhelm scream is an iconic stock sound effect that has been used in many films, television programs and other media, originating in the 1951 film Distant Drums, where the scream was allegedly voiced by actor Sheb Wooley. The scream is often used in scenarios when someone is shot, falls from a great height or is thrown from an explosion. The scream is named after Private Wilhelm, a character in The Charge at Feather River, a 1953 Western in which the character gets shot in the thigh with an arrow. This was its first use following its inclusion in the Warner Bros. Pictures stock sound library, although The Charge at Feather River was the third film to use the effect. It was used in all of the Star Wars and Indiana Jones films prior to Disney’s acquisition of Lucasfilm.

The Roy Rogers Show was produced by Roy Rogers Productions (with many former Republic Pictures personnel), Grok informs me, and filmed primarily at Samuel Goldwyn Studio and outdoor locations such as the Iverson Ranch. It was not a Warner Bros. production and would not have had routine access to that studio’s proprietary stock effects library in the same way.

Fears that the Germans would use biological munitions in their unmanned “buzz bomb” never materialized

September 18th, 2026

Biohazard by Ken AlibekGreat Britain and Canada began investigating biological agents and delivery systems in 1940, Ken Alibek explains (in Biohazard), but President Franklin D. Roosevelt didn’t establish a program until fifteen months after the United States entered World War II, in March 1943:

Based on what Patrick told me of the early history of their program, Americans knew nothing of the ambitious weapons-making drive we [the USSR] had launched in the 1920s.

[…]

The Americans were not fully persuaded until their British and Canadian allies noted that the Germans were suspected of having used glanders against Romanian cavalry during World War I and seemed to be amassing a larger bacteriological arsenal. The Canadians had converted an agricultural experiment station in Suffield, Alberta, into a testing area for anthrax. In southern England, an old chemical warfare proving ground at Porton Down was adapted for the same purpose.

In America, a secret biological warfare unit called the War Research Service was created to work with its British and Canadian counterparts. George W. Merck, president of Merck & Co. Inc., a leading U.S. pharmaceutical firm, was the unit’s first director.

[…]

They settled on four principal sites: a 2,000-acre tract on Horn Island near Pascagoula, Mississippi; the Dugway chemical warfare testing facility in the Utah desert; a 6,100-acre munitions manufacturing complex at Terre Haute, Indiana; and the old National Guard installation at Frederick, Maryland.

[…]

More than seventeen hundred people worked at Camp Detrick during the war years, investigating glanders, brucellosis, cholera, dysentery, plague, and typhus.

Anthrax was the largest project. Scientists built a pilot plant capable of producing anthrax in ten-thousand-gallon tanks. They were so successful that Britain placed an order for five hundred thousand anthrax bombs from the facility in September 1944.

[…]

Fears that the Germans would use biological munitions in their unmanned “buzz bomb” raids over English cities, or to repel the D-Day force, never materialized.

[…]

Some facilities were phased out, but revelations about Japan’s Unit 731 forestalled any serious discussion about ending the American program.

[…]

Camp Detrick sent scientists to Japan to interrogate the commanders of Unit 731, who gave details of their program in return for avoiding prosecution for war crimes. Their reports convinced Washington that biological weapons could be developed in greater quantities and with far greater effectiveness than anyone had suspected. The British came to a similar conclusion and decided to upgrade their testing and research unit at Porton Down and at a test site on the Scottish island of Gruinard.

[…]

Beginning in 1951, agricultural agents were developed at Camp Detrick and other facilities to attack the Soviet wheat crop and the rice paddies of Communist China. The pathogens were stored at Edgewood Arsenal in Maryland, as well as at Rocky Mountain Arsenal near Denver, which also manufactured plutonium for nuclear weapons.

U.S. bioweaponeers went on to explore antipersonnel agents such as tularemia, Venezuelan equine encephalitis, and staphylococcal enterotoxin B. Aerosols were tested on animals at Deseret Island in the Pacific Ocean and at Dugway Proving Ground in Utah. They conducted experiments with simulated weapons, as we did, in urban areas.

Human tests took place in 1955 on a group of young Seventh Day Adventists who volunteered as an alternative to military service. The volunteers were exposed to Q fever, which is not lethal and can be treated with antibiotics, in a program called Project Whitecoat, or Operation CD-22.

By the late 1960s, twenty-two microorganisms were under study, and there were plans to weaponize hemorrhagic fevers such as the Machupo virus and Rift Valley fever.

[…]

Nixon, convinced by his advisers that biological warfare was impractical, signed an executive order on November 25, 1969, renouncing the use of lethal biological agents and weapons and promising to confine American biological research to “defensive measures” such as immunization and bio-safety.

We didn’t believe a word of Nixon’s announcement. Even though the massive U.S. biological munitions stockpile was ordered to be destroyed, and some twenty-two hundred researchers and technicians lost their jobs, we thought the Americans were only wrapping a thicker cloak around their activities.

Nixon turned most of Camp Detrick’s buildings over to the National Cancer Institute and assigned to the complex the task of finding a cure for cancer.

The Kheibar Shekan’s guidance system allows it to adjust its trajectory and maneuver rapidly to strike within 10 meters of a target

September 17th, 2026

Iran has fielded a new generation of ballistic missiles that can evade American air defenses and strike with far greater precision:

The centerpiece of that shift is a highly mobile ballistic missile Iran calls the Kheibar Shekan, or “Castle Breaker,” which has a range of 900 miles and a satellite-guided, maneuverable warhead.

[…]

Unlike a conventional ballistic missile that travels a fixed path defenders can track and try to intercept, the Kheibar Shekan can quickly change course in the final phase of its descent, potentially slipping past air defenses and hitting targets with devastating precision, those sources said.

Mounted on mobile launchers, the solid-fuel missile is extremely difficult to detect and destroy before launch, allowing it to survive American bombardment campaigns. It can easily reach U.S. and allied targets across the Middle East, including in Israel – and major American bases like Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia and the Al Dhafra Air Base in the United Arab Emirates.

[…]

Jim Lamson, a CIA analyst from 1998 to 2021, said the Kheibar Shekan’s guidance system allows it to adjust its trajectory and maneuver rapidly to strike within 10 meters of a target, a significant achievement given how far it travels.

And its ability to “maneuver in the terminal phase” means it can “completely avoid” two or three interceptors fired at it by opposing military forces, Lamson, who now tracks Iran’s missile program as a senior research associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, told USA TODAY.

Since 2024, Iran has stacked on incremental improvements – likely with the help of Chinese and Russian technology – to make the missile a particularly lethal threat to the 30,000 to 40,000 U.S. troops in the region, Lamson said.

The updates include improved satellite guidance, altered launch trajectories that are harder for missile-defense radar to predict, better resistance to electronic jamming and coordinated barrages that mix ballistic missiles with swarms of drones, he said.

[…]

Hackett, who once worked out of the U.S. Embassy in Jordan, described the July 17 strike as a “live combat test” of the Kheibar Shekan against U.S. bases in Jordan. He said the Kheibar is especially dangerous because its maneuverability allows it to strike “dynamic” targets, including people and military assets that moved at the last minute to dodge them.

That includes valuable aircraft, he said, “and these huge fuel bladders sitting around with tons of jet fuel in them. These can be struck now by this weapon and cause mass explosions and casualties.”

The same agents, even the same types of aerosols, were used in experiments occurring sometimes less than a year apart

September 16th, 2026

Biohazard by Ken AlibekWhen Ken Alibek collaborated on a secret history of the Soviet and American programs after his defection, as he explains in Biohazard, he was amazed to discover how closely the research efforts of both countries dovetailed between 1945 and 1969:

The same agents, even the same types of aerosols, were used in experiments occurring sometimes less than a year apart.

[…]

The uncanny similarity between our programs may have been more than a coincidence. Pavel Sudoplatov, a former general of the NKVD (the precursor of the KGB), provided an unwitting clue in his memoirs, published in 1996. Sudoplatov reported almost offhandedly that classified U.S. material on bacteriological weapons research had been transmitted on a regular basis to Moscow during the 1940s and 1950s.

[…]

There had to be at least one informer, if not several, in the American program.

Gamera is the first UAS designed to carry bomber-class strike munitions

September 15th, 2026

California-based Swarm Aero on Monday unveiled a new low-cost unmanned aerial system capable of carrying a payload of more than 2,800 pounds:

In a press release, the company said Gamera is the first UAS designed to carry bomber-class strike munitions such as the Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile, or LRASM, and Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile-Extended Range, or JASSM-ER, as well as other cruise and hypersonic missiles.

The company added that it “will be able to deliver all of the capabilities of the MQ-9, as well as employ payloads that the MQ-9 cannot, at a fraction of the price.”

Although Swarm did not give a specific price point, the company said comparable strike effects would cost 10 times less than existing platforms. The company also cited recent Defense Innovation Unit statements, calling existing systems “unsustainable.” The MQ-9 Reaper purportedly costs more than $30 million apiece.

Swarm Aero Gamera UAS

The company said it has a roughly 72-foot wingspan and can fly 9,000 nautical miles before needing to refuel.